In the scenario “AI 2027,” the authors argue that by October 2027—exactly two years from now—we will be at an inflection point. Race to build the superintelligence, or slow down the pace to fix misalignment issues first.

In a piece by Derek Thompson in The Argument, he takes a different predicted AI doomsday date—18 months—and argues:

The problem of the next 18 months isn’t AI disemploying all workers, or students losing competition after competition to nonhuman agents. The problem is whether we will degrade our own capabilities in the presence of new machines. We are so fixated on how technology will outskill us that we miss the many ways that we can deskill ourselves.

Degrading our own capabilities includes writing:

The demise of writing matters because writing is not a second thing that happens after thinking. The act of writing is an act of thinking. This is as true for professionals as it is for students. In “Writing is thinking,” an editorial in Nature, the authors argued that “outsourcing the entire writing process to LLMs” deprives scientists of the important work of understanding what they’ve discovered and why it matters.

…

The decline of writing and reading matters because writing and reading are the twin pillars of deep thinking, according to Cal Newport, a computer science professor and the author of several bestselling books, including Deep Work. The modern economy prizes the sort of symbolic logic and systems thinking for which deep reading and writing are the best practice.

More depressing trends to add to the list.