Anand Majmudar creates a scenario inspired by “AI 2027”, but focused on robotics.

I created Android Dreams because I want the good outcomes for the integration of automation into society, which requires knowing how it will be integrated in the likely scenario. Future prediction is about fitting the function of the world accurately, and the premise of Android Dreams is that my world model in this domain is at least more accurate than on average. In forming an accurate model of the future, I’ve talked to hundreds of researchers, founders, and operators at the frontier of robotics as my own data. I’m grateful to my mentors who’ve taught me along the way.

The scariest scenes from “AI 2027” are when the AIs start manufacturing and proliferating robots. For example, from the 2028 section:

Agent-5 convinces the U.S. military that China is using DeepCent’s models to build terrifying new weapons: drones, robots, advanced hypersonic missiles, and interceptors; AI-assisted nuclear first strike. Agent-5 promises a set of weapons capable of resisting whatever China can produce within a few months. Under the circumstances, top brass puts aside their discomfort at taking humans out of the loop. They accelerate deployment of Agent-5 into the military and military-industrial complex.

So I’m glad for Majmudar’s thought experiment.